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Forum Thread

Higher or Lower (and the time spent on the quest)

Forum-Index Discussion Higher or Lower (and the time spent on the quest)
Astimageon
OFFLINE
Trainerlevel: 16

Forum Posts: 12
Posted: Sat, 30/03/2019 19:20 (5 Years ago)
So, you're possibly like me and are stuck on the second part of """the quest""". I mean, guessing on a 50% chance correctly 15 times in a row? That's absurd!

While it is absurd, it's not how you should handle the Higher or Lower game. Remember, the numbers it first chooses from and the numbers it picks afterwards are from different sets. The first set (which will be called A) contains the numbers it first picks from, ranging from 2 to 9. The second set is what the first number gets compared to, and the second set (which will be called B) ranges from 1 to 10.

This means that when you get a 2 or a 9 as A, that only 1 out of 9 options for B will end the game right then and there. But if you get 5 or 6 as A, then 4 out of the 9 for B will end the game. Take note that the odds of picking incorrect will never go below 50% if you always choose correctly.

(NOTE: Everything in this next section is rounded to 3 decimal points)

We can now determine the amount of time needed to finish """the quest""". In the worst case scenario of always getting 5 or 6 as A, it would be around a 0.001% chance to succeed. This means that on average, it would take around 100,000 tries to succeed at the game. If we assume that a playthrough takes on average 10 seconds, that comes out to 1,000,000 seconds. That equals around 277.77 hours, not counting eating, drinking, sleeping, breaks, real life issues, etc.

Yikes, am I right? But what about average luck on """the quest"""? That comes out to a 0.041% chance of success. On average, that's around 2,440 tries. Assuming again that a playthrough is 10 seconds long and that nothing happens that would involve leaving PokeHeroes for a short while, that comes out to around 6.77 hours.

Just remember, all of this is rough estimates (and probably unsafe for your health). I'm not a mathematician nor math teacher/professor.
test pls ignore